Thursday, January 24, 2008

More Old People

Here's the structure of the Japanese population. The vase-shaped form of this graph means that old people are increasing in Japan.

Is that OK for the future of Japan? This is not the business of Japan, but many industrial countries must have the similar structure of the population.

Why do many countries have such shape of graph? Nobody knows the reasons.

More people do not want to enjoy a sex. Do you think so?
I don't think so. I know that many Japanese really like it, of course, including me!

The cost of growing up children becomes more and more expensive. Do you agree with this opinion?

If you like, post your conjecture!!

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi, Taro!
I could mention a pair of reasons more.
Modern contraception allows enjoy sex without any "consequences".
Different insurances (especially ones for the old age) make it not necessary to have many children to avoid a probable poverty.
It´s a general trend of civilization, that people do less work but more entertainment - but to bring up a child looks however more like a work than an amusement.
And so on...

Taro said...

Hi, tatiana!

How's going? Good?

Thank you for your nice comment.

"Different social securities for the old people make it not necessary to have many children to support their lives after they retire."

In this point, I agree with you.

We may think that modern social securities are more likely to reduce the number of children per family as a result.

"It´s a general trend of civilization that people do less work but more entertainment"

Why don't many people in civilized countries need to work more? Because the labor productivity has been increased. As a result of increasing productivity, we can enjoy a wide variety of entertainment in a modern society.

A sex is now becoming rather a kind of enjoyment of life than a procedure of making children. (However, I may have jumped to conclusion. A sex has been always a big entertainment of humanbeings for long, because many acient societies have a culture of prostitution. )

In my sight, one of the reasons for decreasing children in modern developed countries is that "the value of time" has been increased there.

What is "the value of time"? For example, it is the opportunity cost of quiting job that we can take.

In less developed countries, the prevailing wage level is not higher than that in developed countries, so the opportunity cost of stopping working, that is, the value of time is not larger than that in developed countries. So there're many children per family in less developed countries. Or children could be possible labor force there, and so many families have many children.

At any rate, as a general conclusion, good jobs that offer high wage may also result in decreasing number of children per family in developed countries. etc...

Anonymous said...

Hi, Taro!
I'm fine, thank you.
By the way, I think, you shouldn't care about your English. You can write totally good; and, surely, you can speak very good too.
I agree with you, that opportunity costs influence the decision of getting a child. But I find it problematic to compare the opportunity costs of stopping a job in different countries. One can measure the opportunity costs in dollars (or any other currency) to compare them. But besides that these costs are also very subjective. 100 $ to escape hunger could be more important for a woman in an underdeveloped country, than 5000 $ for an US- or European woman. Who of both has then the higher opportunity costs of getting a child? It's difficult to say...
The people of this world (even inside the same nation) have a very various values. Somebody who gets a new job with a high salary thinks "Nice, now I can by a new car!". Another one says "OK, now I can plan one more child". If the first variant prevails, then the birth rate drops.